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Will Healthcare Enrollments Meet Projections?

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) had projected that the Affordable Care Act (ACA) would have 7 million enrollees in 2014...
January 8, 2014

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) had projected that the Affordable Care Act (ACA) would have 7 million enrollees in 2014. However, experts say that even with the surge of enrollees in December bringing the total to 1.1 million Americans enrolled through the federal exchange and another 1 million enrolled through the 14 state-run exchanges, reaching 7 million enrollees next year will be difficult. Current enrollment is far lower than the Obama administration’s goal of 3 million by the end of 2013, and it is unclear what the mix of healthy and sick Americans is among current enrollees. The Urban Institute estimates that the final enrollment number for 2014 will be between 4 million and 5 million.

“I think the 7 million projection is possible,” said Larry Levitt, a senior vice president for the non-partisan Kaiser Family Foundation. He argued that December was the first real month during which the system was functioning and the result was a dramatic rise in enrollment. In addition, Levitt said healthcare officials and the insurance industry held off on a public relations blitz because of the HealthCare.gov woes.

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