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Does a Hot Summer Mean a Cold Winter to Follow? Not Necessarily

Many parts of the country had a very hot summer in 2012. So now, people are attempting to use that fact to predict how cold the upcoming winter may be...
October 23, 2012

Many parts of the country had a very hot summer in 2012. So now, people are attempting to use that fact to predict how cold the upcoming winter may be.

Not very cold, say some forecasters. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center predicts this winter is likely to continue a U.S. warming trend that could make 2012 the hottest year since modern record-keeping began. Officials from the center said Thursday that the drought that ravaged much of the United States this year may spread in the coming months, and that the drought could even creep westward into Montana, Idaho, and parts of Oregon and Washington. Dryer-than-normal winter weather is expected in much of the Pacific Northwest, with higher-than-normal precipitation predicted for the Gulf Coast. Experts say most states have an equal chance of below-normal, normal, or above-normal precipitation. A record-warm winter would be in line with NOAA’s latest report on global temperatures, which found September 2012 tied for the hottest September in world records going back to 1880.

Winter to Continue Hot Weather Trend (Insurance Journal 10/19/12)

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